Gripe aviária no Brasil: uma análise econômica de equilíbrio geral
作者： Arlei Luiz Fachinello , Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira Filho
DOI: 10.1590/S0103-20032010000300003
关键词:
摘要: The H5N1 avian influenza virus has been spreading fast over countries and continents in the last years, with a real possibility of reaching Brazil. scope this paper is to analyze impacts three different scenarios possible bird flu outbreak commercial poultry production Brazil, aid Brazilian inter-regional general equilibrium model. Results point greater negative impact Southern region, correspondent broad regional economies. Regions producing substitute goods, on other hand, would be benefited, due consumer's substitution towards meats. Actually, effect caused by change preferences, both domestically abroad, found key driver income employment changes.
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