QUANTIFYING THE VALUE THAT WIND POWER PROVIDES AS A HEDGE AGAINST VOLATILE NATURAL GAS PRICES

作者: William Golove , Ryan Wiser , Mark Bolinger

DOI:

关键词:

摘要: Advocates of renewable energy have long argued that wind power and other technologies can mitigate fuel price risk within a resource portfolio. Such arguments--made with renewed vigor in the wake unprecedented natural gas volatility during winter 2000/2001--have mostly been qualitative nature, however, few attempts to actually quantify stability benefit renewables provide. This paper this by equating it cost achieving through means, particularly gas-based financial derivatives (futures swaps). We find over past two years, consumers had pay premium roughly 0.50 cents/kWh expected spot prices lock for next 10 years. incremental is potentially large enough tip scales away from new investments gasfired generation favor technologies.

参考文章(6)
K. Bell, P. Spinney, M.C. Brower, Evaluating the risk-reduction benefits of wind energy Other Information: PBD: May 1997. ,(1997) , 10.2172/475639
Robert S. Pindyck, The Dynamics of Commodity Spot and Futures Markets: A Primer The Energy Journal. ,vol. 22, pp. 1- 30 ,(2001) , 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-VOL22-NO3-1
Shimon Awerbuch, The surprising role of risk in utility integrated resource planning The Electricity Journal. ,vol. 6, pp. 20- 33 ,(1993) , 10.1016/1040-6190(93)90048-P
End Use, Annual energy outlook Energy Information Administration. ,(1990)