A proposed convention for measuring the state of the art of products or processes
作者： Theodore J. Gordon , Thomas R. Munson
DOI: 10.1016/0040-1625(81)90038-X
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摘要: During 1980, The Futures Group performed a study under contract to the National Science Foundation devise convention for describing—in quantitative terms—technological state of art essential any technology. In designing this we hope that different analysts, working independently, would be able arrive at similar conclusion about technology study. With such measure hand, it possible, example, evaluate effectiveness investment in R&D by evaluating improvement technological given technology, per unit investment. The form equation chosen state-of-the-art was SOA = K1(P1/P'1 + K2(P2/P'2) ⋯ Kn(Pn/P'n) where art, Kn relative weight associated with each parameter describing Pn value particular useful and P'n reference parameter. Various approaches selection parameters their weights were described. Of interest is statistical approach which assumes over time, an S-shaped curve. instance possible compute through iterative numerical technique. The applied two technologies: computers antibiotics, measures developed each. case selected organism/antibiotic pairs analyzed identify antibiotic as control microorganism, time.
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