Development of a model to simulate infection dynamics of Mycobacterium bovis in cattle herds in the United States
作者： Rebecca L. Smith , Ynte H. Schukken , Zhao Lu , Rebecca M. Mitchell , Yrjo T. Grohn
关键词:
摘要: Objective—To develop a mathematical model to simulate infection dynamics of Mycobacterium bovis in cattle herds the United States and predict efficacy current national control strategy for tuberculosis cattle. Design—Stochastic simulation model. Sample—Theoretical States. Procedures—A within-herd M transmission following introduction 1 latently infected cow was developed. Frequency- density-dependent modes 3 tuberculin test–based culling strategies (no test-based culling, constant [annual] testing with slaughterhouse detection–based culling) were investigated. Results evaluated herd sizes over 10-year period validated via known outbreaks infection. Results—On basis 1,000 simulations (1,000 each) at replacement rates typical dairy (0.33/y), median time detection medium-...
avma.org
unirioja.es
sci-hub.se 参考文章(19)
F.D. MENZIES, S.D. NEILL, Cattle-to-cattle transmission of bovine tuberculosis. Veterinary Journal. ,vol. 160, pp. 92- 106 ,(2000) , 10.1053/TVJL.2000.0482
N.D. Barlow, J.M. Kean, G. Hickling, P.G. Livingstone, A.B. Robson, A simulation model for the spread of bovine tuberculosis within New Zealand cattle herds Preventive Veterinary Medicine. ,vol. 32, pp. 57- 75 ,(1997) , 10.1016/S0167-5877(97)00002-0
Andres M Perez, Michael P Ward, Armando Charmandarián, Viviana Ritacco, Simulation model of within-herd transmission of bovine tuberculosis in Argentine dairy herds Preventive Veterinary Medicine. ,vol. 54, pp. 361- 372 ,(2002) , 10.1016/S0167-5877(02)00043-0
R. de la Rua-Domenech, A.T. Goodchild, H.M. Vordermeier, R.G. Hewinson, K.H. Christiansen, R.S. Clifton-Hadley, Ante mortem diagnosis of tuberculosis in cattle: A review of the tuberculin tests, γ-interferon assay and other ancillary diagnostic techniques Research in Veterinary Science. ,vol. 81, pp. 190- 210 ,(2006) , 10.1016/J.RVSC.2005.11.005
Dianna M. Wolfe, Olaf Berke, David F. Kelton, Paul W. White, Simon J. More, James O’Keeffe, S. Wayne Martin, From explanation to prediction: A model for recurrent bovine tuberculosis in Irish cattle herds Preventive Veterinary Medicine. ,vol. 94, pp. 170- 177 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.PREVETMED.2010.02.010
Gry Færevik, Inger L. Andersen, Margit B. Jensen, Knut E. Bøe, Increased group size reduces conflicts and strengthens the preference for familiar group mates after regrouping of weaned dairy calves ( Bos taurus ) Applied Animal Behaviour Science. ,vol. 108, pp. 215- 228 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.APPLANIM.2007.01.010
V.S. Perumaalla, L.G. Adams, J. Payeur, D. Baca, T.A. Ficht, Molecular fingerprinting confirms extensive cow-to-cow intra-herd transmission of a single Mycobacterium bovis strain. Veterinary Microbiology. ,vol. 70, pp. 269- 276 ,(1999) , 10.1016/S0378-1135(99)00143-1
B. Asseged, Z. Woldesenbet, E. Yimer, E. Lemma, Evaluation of Abattoir Inspection for the Diagnosis of Mycobacterium bovis Infection in Cattle at Addis Ababa Abattoir Tropical Animal Health and Production. ,vol. 36, pp. 537- 546 ,(2004) , 10.1023/B:TROP.0000040934.32330.44
L.A. Corner, Post mortem diagnosis of Mycobacterium bovis infection in cattle Veterinary Microbiology. ,vol. 40, pp. 53- 63 ,(1994) , 10.1016/0378-1135(94)90046-9
R. R. Kao, M. G. Roberts, T. J. Ryan, A model of bovine tuberculosis control in domesticated cattle herds Proceedings of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. ,vol. 264, pp. 1069- 1076 ,(1997) , 10.1098/RSPB.1997.0148