Defining a Standard Methodology to Obtain Optimum WRF Configuration for Operational Forecast: Application over the Port of Huelva (Southern Spain)

摘要: In this contribution, we calibrate the meteorological model weather and research forecasting (WRF) for operational forecasting in Port of Huelva managed by the Authority Huelva. Meteorological will allow reducing the impact phenomena over sensitive activities the region. Concretely, modeling developed be used to analyze hazard impacts to improve management the local air quality. To achieve these goals, numerous analyses corresponding different options have been developed. These analyses consider physical dynamical options, coupling very high resolution physiographic database (topography land uses), data assimilation. Comparing experiments, results with observational measures provide us Spanish National Meteorology Agency (AEMET). During a representative period, optimum WRF configuration region is obtained. Calibration has focused on wind due this is main risk factor region. When satisfactorily calibrated, is evaluated using whole years 2012 2013, working high horizontal resolution, up 0.333 km horizontal grid resolution. Results obtained from evaluation indicate that numerical prediction system developed a confidence level 70% temperature, 81% 66% for the speed direction respectively, 90% relative humidity. Methodology designed defines quality control assurance of high-accuracy services Meteosim S.L.