Are The Costs of Proposed Environmental Regulations Overestimated? Evidence from the CFC Phaseout
作者： James K. Hammitt
关键词:
摘要: Benefit-cost and cost-effectiveness analysis are often advocated fordecision making about environmental, health, safety regulations, butthere has been little research evaluating the accuracy of prospectiveestimates regulatory costs benefits. Prospective estimates themarginal cost limiting chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) consumption in theUnited States, published shortly before after September 1987adoption Montreal Protocol, compared with retrospectiveestimates based on realized market prices. Estimates beforeinternational regulations were adopted (in May 1986) substantiallyoverestimate marginal CFC-11 CFC-12consumption but modestly underestimate CFC-113consumption. In contrast, adoption theProtocol August 1988) appear to oflimiting CFC consumption.
springer.com
sci-hub.se 参考文章(36)
F.A. Vogelsberg, An industry perspective of the CFC phaseout: Cost impacts and lessons learned Heating, piping, and air conditioning. ,vol. 69, pp. 121- 128 ,(1997)
James K. Hammitt, Timing Regulations to Prevent Stratospheric-Ozone Depletion ,(1987)
James K. Hammitt, W. E. Mooz, Anil Bamezai, M. Meltzer, Timothy H. Quinn, Frank Camm, Kathleen A. Wolf, Social Cost of Technical Control Options to Reduce Emissions of Potential ozone depleters in the United States RAND Corporation. ,(1986)
R. Charles Moyer, Phillip M. Sisneros, Robert E. Chatfield, The Accuracy of Long-Term Earnings Forecasts for Industrial Firms Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics. ,vol. 28, pp. 91- ,(1989)
Cass R. Sunstein, Incommensurability and Valuation in Law Michigan Law Review. ,vol. 92, pp. 779- 861 ,(1994) , 10.2307/1289693
Sebastian Oberthür, Hermann E. Ott, The Science of Climate Change Geoscience Canada. ,vol. 30, pp. 3- 12 ,(1999) , 10.1007/978-3-662-03925-0_1
Harold Schiff, Lydia Dotto, The ozone war ,(1978)
Marc Alpert, Howard Raiffa, Judgment under uncertainty: A progress report on the training of probability assessors Cambridge University Press. pp. 294- 305 ,(1982) , 10.1017/CBO9780511809477.022
Peter J Neumann, Gillian D Sanders, Louise B Russell, Joanna E Siegel, Theodore G Ganiats, None, Cost-effectiveness in health and medicine Oxford University Press. ,(1996)
B. A. Callander, L. G. Meira Filho, John Theodore Houghton, K. Maskell, A. Kattenberg, N. Harris, Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change ,(1996)