The variations of dry spells in marseilles from 1865 to 1984

作者: Annick Douguedroit

DOI: 10.1002/JOC.3370070603

关键词:

摘要: The study of dry spells gives a better characterization the structure season than monthly totals or means rainfall. is characterized by mean lengths all and long (≥ 30 days), their persistence during 19 overlapping 30-years series. A model based on shifted negative binomial distributions which fits well most frequency observed allows us to compute probability occurrence spell ≥ n days.

参考文章(17)
E. Galloy, A. Le Breton, S. Martin, A Model for Weather Cycles Based on Daily Rainfall Occurrence Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. pp. 303- 318 ,(1983) , 10.1007/978-3-642-46475-1_22
Chr Goossens, A. Berger, Persistence of dry and wet spells in Belgium Archives for Meteorology, Geophysics, and Bioclimatology. Series B: Climatology, Environmental Meteorology, Radiation Research - Archiv fuer Meteorologie, Geophysik und Bioklimatologie. Series B. ,vol. 34, pp. 243- 256 ,(1984) , 10.1007/BF02265490
Edwin H. Chin, John F. Miller, On the Conditional Distribution of Daily Precipitation Amounts Monthly Weather Review. ,vol. 108, pp. 1462- 1464 ,(1980) , 10.1175/1520-0493(1980)108<1462:OTCDOD>2.0.CO;2
F. Eggenberger, G. Pólya, Über die Statistik verketteter Vorgänge Zamm-zeitschrift Fur Angewandte Mathematik Und Mechanik. ,vol. 3, pp. 279- 289 ,(1923) , 10.1002/ZAMM.19230030407
J. W. Hopkins, P. Robillard, Some Statistics of Daily Rainfall Occurrence for the Canadian Prairie Provinces Journal of Applied Meteorology. ,vol. 3, pp. 600- 602 ,(1964) , 10.1175/1520-0450(1964)003<0600:SSODRO>2.0.CO;2
A. M. Feyerherm, L. Dean Bark, Goodness of Fit of a Markov Chain Model for Sequences of Wet and Dry Days Journal of Applied Meteorology. ,vol. 6, pp. 770- 773 ,(1967) , 10.1175/1520-0450(1967)006<0770:GOFOAM>2.0.CO;2
Annick Douguedroit, La sécheresse estivale dans la région Provence — Alpes — Côte d'Azur Méditerranée. ,vol. 39, pp. 13- 21 ,(1980) , 10.3406/MEDIT.1980.1936
Hermano V. De Arruda, Hilton S. Pinto, An Alternative Model for Dry-Spell Probability Analysis Monthly Weather Review. ,vol. 108, pp. 823- 825 ,(1980) , 10.1175/1520-0493(1980)108<0823:AAMFDS>2.0.CO;2