Does the ``National Free Health Care'' have financial sustainability in China? A case of Shenmu County, Shaanxi Province, China.

摘要: The most populous country in the world, China needs more health care. Shenmu's practices show that National Free Health Care (NFHC) system has played an active role fulfilling citizen's of care, and alleviating difficulties affording medical costs seeing doctors. But NFHC substantial financial supporting. It is worth in-depth discussing reflecting on whether suits China's national conditions. paper establishes population age structure forecasting model burden by decomposition methodology actuarial modelling. And it finds than Shenmu will be increased from 256.64 million Yuan to 656.04 2013-2020, with growth rate 12.45%. Meanwhile, percentage government's annual revenue less 2% sustainability Shenmu. According successful experience abroad calculated results Shenmu, extend whole realistic possibility.