Modeling Influenza Vaccination Behavior via Inductive Reasoning Games

摘要: Past experiences with seasonal influenza and immunization may affect individual decisions about whether to obtain vaccinations. Individuals continually adapt recent influenza-related experiences, using inductive thought reevaluate their options We explore this concept by constructing an individual-level model of adaptive decision-making. couple a population-level that includes vaccination dynamics. The coupled models allow us how change epidemiology and, conversely, might decisions. By including the effects decision-making within epidemic model, we show behavioral dynamics uptake could lead severe epidemics even without presence pandemic strain. further these be prevented if programs provided commitment-based incentives or mass media released epidemiological information individuals can use evaluate prudence vaccination. Finally discuss present some preliminary results when social networks offer preferential paths for transmission.