The impact of international climate policy on Indonesia

摘要: This paper studies the impact of international climate policy on economy and structure energy sector in Indonesia . We use an extended version MERGE - Model for Evaluating Regional Global Effects Greenhouse Gas Reduction Policies to project Indonesia's development till year 2100, a business-as-usual various mitigation scenarios. If Organisation Economic Co-operation Development countries were reduce emissions, would export more gas but less oil its per capita income fall slightly. With trade emission permits, be exporter carbon permits as sectors are almost same without abatement, suffer minor loss income. country anticipates reduction targets relative some future then it should increase emissions short run. It postpone exploiting reserves initially rely coal imported oil. could become substantial internationally tradable permits. currently projected optimal exploitation gets shifted forward time while moves backward, lesser extent. losses will greater, still not very large. International make economically unattractive.