Climate Change Impact on Monthly Precipitation Wet and Dry Spells in Arid Regions: Case Study over Wadi Al-Lith Basin
作者： Mansour Almazroui , Khaled S. Balkhair , M. Nazrul Islam , Zekai Şen
DOI: 10.1155/2017/5132895
关键词:
摘要: Durations of monthly precipitation wet and dry spells are calculated using historical records regional climate model (RCM) simulations for the Wadi Al-Lith basin in western Saudi Arabia. The characteristics durations based on 50% risk level corresponding to average precipitation. duration data is compared with observations base period 1971–2000. impact change obtained three global models projections RCP4.5 RCP8.5 scenarios downscaled by RCM. probability distribution functions (PDFs) prove that has a clear over study area. There an increase frequency far future (2070–2099) near (2020–2049). can be partly explained extreme rainfall events decrease expected occur area towards end 21st century.
hindawi.com
core.ac.uk参考文章(35)
Piyush Dahal, Nicky Shree Shrestha, Madan Lall Shrestha, Nir Y. Krakauer, Jeeban Panthi, Soni M. Pradhanang, Ajay Jha, Tarendra Lakhankar, Drought risk assessment in central Nepal: temporal and spatial analysis. Natural Hazards. ,vol. 80, pp. 1913- 1932 ,(2016) , 10.1007/S11069-015-2055-5
Md Nazrul Islam, M Rafiuddin, Ahsan Uddin Ahmed, Rupa Kumar Kolli, None, Calibration of PRECIS in employing future scenarios in Bangladesh International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 28, pp. 617- 628 ,(2008) , 10.1002/JOC.1559
Hege Hisdal, Lena M. Tallaksen, Estimation of regional meteorological and hydrological drought characteristics: a case study for Denmark Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 281, pp. 230- 247 ,(2003) , 10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00233-6
G. A. Theoharatos, I. G. Tselepidaki, The distribution of rainy days in the Aegean area Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ,vol. 42, pp. 111- 116 ,(1990) , 10.1007/BF00868217
Mansour Almazroui, Md. Nazrul Islam, A. K. Al-Khalaf, Fahad Saeed, Best convective parameterization scheme within RegCM4 to downscale CMIP5 multi-model data for the CORDEX-MENA/Arab domain Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ,vol. 124, pp. 807- 823 ,(2016) , 10.1007/S00704-015-1463-5
Jaber Almedeij, Long-term periodic drought modeling Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. ,vol. 30, pp. 901- 910 ,(2016) , 10.1007/S00477-015-1065-X
G. A. Theoharatos, I. G. Tselepidaki, The temperature of the sea-surface in the region of the Aegean and its relation to air temperature Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ,vol. 42, pp. 117- 119 ,(1990) , 10.1007/BF00868218
Md. Nazrul Islam, Hiroshi Uyeda, Vertical variations of rain intensity in different rainy periods in and around Bangladesh derived from TRMM observations International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 28, pp. 273- 279 ,(2008) , 10.1002/JOC.1585
Shih-Chieh Kao, Rao S. Govindaraju, A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts. Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 380, pp. 121- 134 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.JHYDROL.2009.10.029
Z. Şen, Probabilistic Formulation of Spatio-temporal Drought Pattern Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ,vol. 61, pp. 197- 206 ,(1998) , 10.1007/S007040050064