Modelling crop land use change derived from influencing factors selected and ranked by farmers in North temperate agricultural regions.

摘要: To develop meaningful land use scenarios, drivers that affect changes in the landscape are required. In this study, driving factors influence farmers to change crops on their farm were determined. A questionnaire was administered four independent groups of who identified and ranked influencing pertaining choices crops. The located two mid-latitude agricultural watersheds (in Germany Canada). used a "farmer driven" scenario 2040 both watersheds. Results showed most important for "economic return crop" "market factors". Yet, when crop grouped into categories "financial" "indirectly-related financial" factors, made up approximately half factors. For some responses, (i.e. "access equipment", "farm experience", "climate") higher than or just as high financial Overall, farmer differences between rankings minor, indicating may be transferable farms if full-time farming regions have comparable growing seasons, access markets, similar technology, government programs income. addition scenario, "policy derived each watershed based only available information incentives provided subsidies, income support, insurance). by in-depth not captured contributed improving predictions development. This straight-forward method rank qualitative data can easily replicated other improve environmental impact modelling.