A Gaussian Markov random field model for total yearly precipitation over the African Sahel

作者: Finn Lindgren , Johan Lindström

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摘要: A spatio-temporal model is constructed to interpolate yearly precipitation data from 1982 1996 over the African Sahel. The used in analysis comes Global Historical Climatology Network. based on a Gaussian Markov random field approach with AR(1)-dependence time and spatial component modeled using an approximation of withMat´ern covariance. defined irregular grid segment sphere, both avoiding issue matching observations regularly spaced grid, handling curvature Earth. estimated chain Monte Carlo approach. formulation as allows for relatively efficient computations, even though has more than 3*10^4 nodes. (Less)

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