Exploring the future role of Asia utilizing a Scenario Matrix Architecture and Shared Socio-economic Pathways

摘要: Abstract We explore the implications that alternative pathways for human population and economic development have role of Asia in reference no-climate-policy scenarios which climate forcing is limited. consider three different socioeconomic development, we refer to as Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) four levels limitation on forcing, Climate Policy Assumptions (SPAs). SSPs are differentiated by growth assumptions, while SPAs level radiative year 2100. Regardless examined plays a central shaping world's future with nearly half people more than activity energy consumption. The world dramatically across various combinations SPAs. High worlds place significant stress Asian resources ecosystems. In high poorest members face food prices stringent emissions mitigation, poor populations experience, though larger area unmanaged ecosystems preserved.