Supply/Demand Safety Analysis for Natural Gas in China Based on System Dynamics

摘要: To promote the development of natural gas is an essential strategy in China,which can effectively change our ill structure energy excessively relying on coal,reduce pollution to environment,and improve utilization efficiency.Hence it very important ensure safety supply/demand.For this purpose,the system dynamic method employed paper study situation China.The forecasting model for supply/demand developed,and growing trend future years predicted.Finally,some advices making relative and policy are proposed based upon comprehensive simulation experiments.