作者: Steven R Lerman
DOI:
关键词:
摘要: Household location decisions are closely related to other choices of housing, automobile ownership, and mode work. This paper describes a model that considers these long-run decisions, termed the mobility bundle, as jointly determined, thus eliminating need for an arbitary set assumptions about sequence choices. The developed is based on disaggregate choice theory. Each potential location-housing-automobile ownership-mode work combination distinct alternative, which only one selected by each house-hold. basic methodology used multinomial logit model. A sample skilled, single worker households working residing in Washington, D.C., metropolitan area 1968 was estimate variables describe alternative included locational attributes, housing transportation level service work, spatial opportunities shopping trips, ownership socioeconomic characteristics household. Even with relatively small used, wide range behavioral effects were measured. It concluded models such described here could replace existing systems forecast residential patterns. increase content permit would allow credible work-trip forecasts be made part land use forecasting. /Author/