Exploring the limits for CO2 emission abatement in the EU power and industry sectors-Awaiting a breakthrough

摘要: This study assesses the prospects for presently available abatement technologies to achieve significant reductions in CO2 emissions from large stationary sources of EU up year 2050. The covers power generation, petroleum refining, iron and steel, cement production. By simulating capital stock turnover, scenarios that assume future developments technology stock, energy intensities, fuel production mixes, resulting were generated each sector. results confirm goal Greenhouse Gas Emission sectors covered by Trading System, i.e., 21% reduction 2020 as compared levels 2005, is attainable with measures are already available. However, despite optimism regarding potential for, implementation of, strategies within current processes, our indicate industrial will fail comply more stringent targets both medium term (2030) long (2050). Deliberate exclusion analysis mitigation still early phases development (e.g., capture storage) provides an indirect measure requirements novel low-carbon processes.