Incorporating climate change into ecosystem service assessments and decisions: A review

摘要: Climate change is having a significant impact on ecosystem services and likely to become increasingly important as this phenomenon intensifies. Future impacts can be difficult assess they often involve long timescales, dynamic systems with high uncertainties, are typically confounded by other drivers of change. Despite growing literature climate services, no quantitative syntheses exist. Hence, we lack an overarching understanding the change, how being assessed, extent which drivers, decision making incorporated. To address this, systematically reviewed peer-reviewed that assesses at subglobal scales. We found most types was predominantly negative (59% negative, 24% mixed, 4% neutral, 13% positive), but varied across assessment methods. Although uncertainty usually incorporated, there were substantial gaps in sources included, along methods used incorporate them. relatively few studies integrated making, even fewer aimed identify solutions robust uncertainty. For management or policy ensure delivery approaches multiple account for needed. This undoubtedly challenging task, ignoring these complexities result misleading assessments suboptimal outcomes, inefficient allocation resources adaptation.