A dynamic framework for flood risk

作者: Marlies H. Barendrecht , Alberto Viglione , Günter Blöschl

DOI: 10.1016/J.WASEC.2017.02.001

关键词:

摘要: Abstract Long-term feedbacks between humans and floods may lead to complex phenomena such as coping strategies, levee effects, call adaptation poverty traps. Such cannot be represented by traditional flood risk approaches that are based on scenarios. Instead, dynamic models of the coupled human-flood interactions needed. This paper reviews phenomena, model types associated with this kind models. The concludes play an important role in integrated management exploring a wider range possible futures, including unexpected than is when using

参考文章(43)
G. Blöschl, A. Viglione, A. Montanari, Emerging Approaches to Hydrological Risk Management in a Changing World Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences#R##N#Climate Vulnerability#R##N#Understanding and Addressing Threats to Essential Resources. ,vol. 5, pp. 3- 10 ,(2013) , 10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00505-0
Warren E. Walker, Daniel P. Loucks, Gemma Carr, Social Responses to Water Management Decisions Environmental Processes. ,vol. 2, pp. 485- 509 ,(2015) , 10.1007/S40710-015-0083-5
Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Alberto Montanari, Harry Lins, Demetris Koutsoyiannis, Luigia Brandimarte, Günter Blöschl, Flood fatalities in Africa: From diagnosis to mitigation Geophysical Research Letters. ,vol. 37, ,(2010) , 10.1029/2010GL045467
Murugesu Sivapalan, Hubert H. G. Savenije, Günter Blöschl, Socio‐hydrology: A new science of people and water Hydrological Processes. ,vol. 26, pp. 1270- 1276 ,(2012) , 10.1002/HYP.8426
Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Jeltsje S. Kemerink, Michelle Kooy, Luigia Brandimarte, Floods and societies: the spatial distribution of water‐related disaster risk and its dynamics Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. ,vol. 1, pp. 133- 139 ,(2014) , 10.1002/WAT2.1015
Murugesu Sivapalan, Günter Blöschl, Time scale interactions and the coevolution of humans and water Water Resources Research. ,vol. 51, pp. 6988- 7022 ,(2015) , 10.1002/2015WR017896
Robert L. Wilby, Suraje Dessai, Robust adaptation to climate change Weather. ,vol. 65, pp. 180- 185 ,(2010) , 10.1002/WEA.543
Serena Ceola, Francesco Laio, Alberto Montanari, Satellite nighttime lights reveal increasing human exposure to floods worldwide Geophysical Research Letters. ,vol. 41, pp. 7184- 7190 ,(2014) , 10.1002/2014GL061859
ANNEGRET H. THIEKEN, HEIDI KREIBICH, MEIKE MüLLER, BRUNO MERZ, Coping with floods: preparedness, response and recovery of flood-affected residents in Germany in 2002 Hydrological Sciences Journal-journal Des Sciences Hydrologiques. ,vol. 52, pp. 1016- 1037 ,(2007) , 10.1623/HYSJ.52.5.1016
Yunzhen Chen, James P. M. Syvitski, Shu Gao, Irina Overeem, Albert J. Kettner, Socio-economic Impacts on Flooding: A 4000-Year History of the Yellow River, China AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment. ,vol. 41, pp. 682- 698 ,(2012) , 10.1007/S13280-012-0290-5