Objective tracking of African Easterly Waves in Met Office models

作者: C. L. Bain , K. D. Williams , S. F. Milton , J. T. Heming

DOI: 10.1002/QJ.2110

关键词:

摘要: A simple and computationally efficient objective tracking technique is used to assess the representation of African Easterly Waves (AEWs) in Met Office Unified Model (MetUM). The algorithm takes Hovmoller diagrams curvature vorticity at 700 hPa uses object-orientated image processing identify propagating waves. We use evaluate how well AEWs are captured by MetUM comparison ERA-Interim reanalysis GPCP rainfall data. waves inspected from a dynamical perspective also rainfall-coupling perspective. results show that able capture AEW features weather forecasting climate time-scales has reasonable large-scale dynamics. Some coupling forecasts. However, it found enhancement due wave passage underestimated models, as strength frequency AEWs. Potential causes forecast deficiency investigated both resolution changes convective parametrisation have impacts on model performance. implications for future development over Africa discussed suggested good convection within models key importance realistic simulations their West rainfall.

参考文章(43)
Christelle Barthe, Nicole Asencio, Jean-Philippe Lafore, Michel Chong, Bernard Campistron, Frédéric Cazenave, Multi-scale analysis of the 25–27 July 2006 convective period over Niamey: Comparison between Doppler radar observations and simulations Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ,vol. 136, pp. 190- 208 ,(2010) , 10.1002/QJ.539
A. Diedhiou, S. Janicot, A. Viltard, P. de Felice, H. Laurent, Easterly wave regimes and associated convection over West Africa and tropical Atlantic: results from the NCEP/NCAR and ECMWF reanalyses Climate Dynamics. ,vol. 15, pp. 795- 822 ,(1999) , 10.1007/S003820050316
Stephanie Leroux, Nicholas M. J. Hall, On the Relationship between African Easterly Waves and the African Easterly Jet Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. ,vol. 66, pp. 2303- 2316 ,(2009) , 10.1175/2009JAS2988.1
Richard P. Allan, Anthony Slingo, Sean F. Milton, Malcolm E. Brooks, Evaluation of the Met Office global forecast model using Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) data Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ,vol. 133, pp. 1993- 2010 ,(2007) , 10.1002/QJ.166
Gareth Berry, Chris Thorncroft, Tim Hewson, African Easterly Waves during 2004—Analysis Using Objective Techniques Monthly Weather Review. ,vol. 135, pp. 1251- 1267 ,(2007) , 10.1175/MWR3343.1
Fabrice Chauvin, Jean-Fran�ois Royer, Herv� Douville, Interannual variability and predictability of African easterly waves in a GCM Climate Dynamics. ,vol. 24, pp. 523- 544 ,(2005) , 10.1007/S00382-004-0507-9
Susanna B. Hopsch, Chris D. Thorncroft, Kevin Hodges, Anantha Aiyyer, West African storm tracks and their relationship to Atlantic tropical cyclones Journal of Climate. ,vol. 20, pp. 2468- 2483 ,(2007) , 10.1175/JCLI4139.1
Richard J. Reed, Donald C. Norquist, Ernest E. Recker, The Structure and Properties of African Wave Disturbances as Observed During Phase III of GATE Monthly Weather Review. ,vol. 105, pp. 317- 333 ,(1977) , 10.1175/1520-0493(1977)105<0317:TSAPOA>2.0.CO;2
A. J. Stirling, R. A. Stratton, Entrainment processes in the diurnal cycle of deep convection over land Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ,vol. 138, pp. 1135- 1149 ,(2012) , 10.1002/QJ.1868
Andrew Brown, Sean Milton, Mike Cullen, Brian Golding, John Mitchell, Ann Shelly, Unified Modeling and Prediction of Weather and Climate: A 25-Year Journey Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ,vol. 93, pp. 1865- 1877 ,(2012) , 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00018.1