Long-term planning for nuclear power's development in Japan for a zero-carbon electricity generation system by 2100

摘要: The realization of a zero-carbon electricity system is vital importance to future energy and society. Nuclear power expected contribute the much more than intermittent, complicated costly renewable in Japan. Therefore, present study, nuclear development for zerocarbon was studied through scenario analysis. study conducted three steps (i) estimate demand electrical load pattern by 2100; (H) determine contribution generation based on various constraints; (Hi) test feasibility nuclearbased term supply-demand balance. An integrated computer software platform developed conduct analyses. analysis results show that Fukushima Accident will not affect Japan greatly from long viewpoint. Compared with 2005, total increase 50% 2100. contributes 6OVo-IOOYo production its capacity factor needs be enhanced 60-70% 80-90%. can supplied advanced LWR, FBR even fusion technology.