作者: Ian Chambers , Robert Costanza , Logan Zingus , Steve Cork , Marcello Hernandez
DOI: 10.1016/J.FUTURES.2018.12.002
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摘要: Abstract Scenario planning and the use of alternative futures have been used successfully to assist organisations, communities countries move towards desired outcomes ( Dator, 2009 ). In this study we a unique combination scenario national public opinion survey explore preferred for Australia in 2050. The approach four future scenarios 2050 as basis an online entitled Australia: Our Future, Your Voice. development was based on review broad range globally. We then developed synthesis two axes individual versus community orientation, focus GDP growth well-being more broadly defined. were labelled: (1) Free Enterprise (FE); (2) Strong Individualism (SI); (3) Coordinated Action (CA); (4) Community Well-being (CW). created website that described each these invited people complete after they had reviewed scenarios. engaged 2575 adults groups: targeted statistically representative sample (n = 2083) self-selected (n = 492). Results from both groups across all demographic categories revealed majority participants (CW) scenario. 73% (Representative) 61% (Self Select) ranked 1st or 2nd. also asked which headed toward. 32% Representative 50% Self-Selected (FE) most likely future. CW least be ‘where is heading?’ dissonance between Australians want where thought country has clear policy implications, discuss. This extension include surveys novel can improve thinking, discussion, about Australia, well potentially other regions.