摘要: Abstract An increasing number of mitigation scenarios with deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions have focused on expanded use demand-side electric technologies, including battery vehicles, plug-in hybrid and heat pumps. Here we review such “electricity scenarios” to explore commonalities differences. Newer are produced by various interests, ranging from environmental organizations industry an international organization, represent a variety carbon-free power generation technologies the supply side. The reviewed studies reveal that electrification rate, defined here as ratio electricity final energy demand, rises baseline scenarios, its increase is accelerated under climate policy. prospect differs sector sector, most robust for buildings sector. degree transport among because different treatment assumptions about technology. Industry does not show appreciable change rate. Relative scenario, rate often implies demand but guarantee it.
elsevier.com
sci-hub.se 参考文章(13)
David J. C. MacKay, Sustainable Energy - Without the Hot Air ,(2008)
Stephan Singer, Jean-Philippe Denruyter, Deniz Yener, The Energy Report: 100 % Renewable Energy by 2050 Springer Proceedings in Energy. pp. 379- 383 ,(2017) , 10.1007/978-3-319-45659-1_40
Richard G. Richels, Alan S. Manne, Buying Greenhouse Insurance: The Economic Costs of CO2 Emission Limits ,(1992)
William McDowall, Malcolm Eames, Forecasts, scenarios, visions, backcasts and roadmaps to the hydrogen economy: A review of the hydrogen futures literature Energy Policy. ,vol. 34, pp. 1236- 1250 ,(2006) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2005.12.006
Hiromi Yamamoto, Masahiro Sugiyama, Junichi Tsutsui, Role of end-use technologies in long-term GHG reduction scenarios developed with the BET model Climatic Change. ,vol. 123, pp. 583- 596 ,(2014) , 10.1007/S10584-013-0938-6
Göran Berndes, Monique Hoogwijk, Richard van den Broek, The contribution of biomass in the future global energy supply: a review of 17 studies Biomass and Bioenergy. ,vol. 25, pp. 1- 28 ,(2003) , 10.1016/S0961-9534(02)00185-X
Sven Teske, Thomas Pregger, Sonja Simon, Tobias Naegler, Wina Graus, Christine Lins, Energy [R]evolution 2010—a sustainable world energy outlook Energy Efficiency. ,vol. 4, pp. 409- 433 ,(2011) , 10.1007/S12053-010-9098-Y
Jae Edmonds, Tom Wilson, Marshall Wise, John Weyant, Electrification of the economy and CO2 emissions mitigation Environmental Economics and Policy Studies. ,vol. 7, pp. 175- 203 ,(2006) , 10.1007/BF03353999
Yuko Hoshino, Ken-ichiro Nishio, Impacts of Electrification on CO2 Emission Reduction Potentials in the G7 Countries ,(2010)
Giorgio Simbolotti, Energy Technology Perspectives 2008 Energia, ambiente e innovazione. ,vol. 54, pp. 8- 13 ,(2008)