Empirical Framework for Characterizing Infrastructure Failure Interdependencies

作者: Timothy McDaniels , Stephanie Chang , Krista Peterson , Joey Mikawoz , Dorothy Reed

DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)1076-0342(2007)13:3(175)

关键词:

摘要: This paper develops an analytical framework with empirical applications to characterize infrastructure failure interdependencies (IFIs). It uses major electrical power outages as the context for understanding how extreme events (within or external system) lead failures of other systems, given a outage. The takes approach by examining patterns IFIs that occurred in three kinds events: August 2003 northeastern North American blackout, 1998 Quebec ice storm, and set 2004 Florida hurricanes. Data sources include media reports official ex post assessments events. results terms sectors affected, consequences society. We developed scales impact extent indices. A comparison is provided arising all five discussed paper, basis considering priorities risk mitigation. most significant included effects on HVAC buildings; water systems; health including hospitals public efforts, road transportation systems.

参考文章(24)
Robert S. Germain, Large Scale Systems Springer, Boston, MA. pp. 311- 325 ,(1996) , 10.1007/0-306-47044-6_15
Dorothy Reed, Jane Preuss, Jaewook Park, Context And Resiliency: Influences on Electric Utility Lifeline Performance Infrastructure Risk Management Processes. pp. 118- 142 ,(2005) , 10.1061/9780784408155.CH04
Masanobu Shinozuka, Stephanie E. Chang, Evaluating the Disaster Resilience of Power Networks and Grids Modeling Spatial and Economic Impacts of Disasters. pp. 289- 310 ,(2004) , 10.1007/978-3-540-24787-6_14
Paul C. Stern, Harvey V. Fineberg, Understanding Risk: Informing Decisions in a Democratic Society ,(1996)
Adam Rose, Juan Benavides, Stephanie E Chang, Philip Szczesniak, Dongsoon Lim, The Regional Economic Impact of an Earthquake: Direct and Indirect Effects of Electricity Lifeline Disruptions Journal of Regional Science. ,vol. 37, pp. 437- 458 ,(1997) , 10.1111/0022-4146.00063
H. Keith Florig, M. Granger Morgan, Kara M. Morgan, Karen E. Jenni, Baruch Fischhoff, Paul S. Fischbeck, Michael L. DeKay, A deliberative method for ranking risks (I): Overview and test bed development. Risk Analysis. ,vol. 21, pp. 913- 913 ,(2001) , 10.1111/0272-4332.215161
Barry C. Ezell, John V. Farr, Ian Wiese, Infrastructure Risk Analysis Model Journal of Infrastructure Systems. ,vol. 6, pp. 114- 117 ,(2000) , 10.1061/(ASCE)1076-0342(2000)6:3(114)
Yacov Y. Haimes, Barry M. Horowitz, Modeling interdependent infrastructures for sustainable counterterrorism Journal of Infrastructure Systems. ,vol. 10, pp. 33- 42 ,(2004) , 10.1061/(ASCE)1076-0342(2004)10:2(33)
R.L. Keeney, D. von Winterfeldt, On the uses of expert judgment on complex technical problems IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management. ,vol. 36, pp. 83- 86 ,(1989) , 10.1109/17.18821