作者: Narges Ghorbani , Arman Aghahosseini , Christian Breyer
DOI: 10.1016/J.RENENE.2019.06.079
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摘要: Abstract Transition of Iran's power system from 2015 to 2050 through three scenarios was modelled. Two present a transition pathway towards fully renewable run with different involved sectors (power only, sector coupled desalination and non-energetic gas sectors). The third scenario is based on the country's current policies. energy model performs an hourly resolution guarantee meeting demand for every hour whole year. It found that resources in Iran can satisfy 625 TWh 2050. Further, it technically economically feasible electricity supplying 101 million m3 desalinated water 249 TWhLHV synthetic natural industrial be supplied via resources. A 100% 54 €/MWhel levelised cost (LCOE) more cost-effective than 88.3 LCOE 2015. decrease further reach 41.3 coupling. On other hand, policies country lead inefficient 128 188 Mt/a emitted CO2