CAPRA - Comprehensive Approach to Probabilistic Risk Assessment: international initiative for risk management effectiveness

摘要: Understanding disaster risk due to hazard events, such as earthquakes, creates powerful incentives for countries develop planning options and tools reduce potential damages. This has been the reason why CAPRA, evaluation model described in this paper, was developed with technical financial support of World Bank, Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) International Strategy United Nations Disaster Reduction (ISDR). CAPRA is a techno-scientific methodology information platform, composed communication at various territorial levels. allows probabilistic losses on exposed elements using metrics, exceedance probability curve, expected annual loss probable maximum loss, useful multi-hazard/risk analyses. The platform conceptually oriented facilitate decision making. Using it possible design transfer instruments, of probabilistic cost-benefit ratio, providing an innovative tool makers analyze net benefits mitigation strategies, building retrofitting. land use planning, loss scenarios emergency response, early warning, on-line assessment mechanisms, holistic based indicators that facilitates integrated management by different stakeholders involved reduction decision-making. used Central South America some Europe Asia. It base country´s profile Colombia, Mexico Nepal framework Global Assessment Report GAR-2011 contribution Earthquake Model (GEM). Examples application countries, descriptions wiki visualization available are made illustrate capabilities open architecture ad source example nevertheless similar can be hurricanes, floods, landslides volcanoes.