Will Extratropical Storms Intensify in a Warmer Climate
作者： Lennart Bengtsson , Kevin I. Hodges , Noel Keenlyside
关键词:
摘要: Abstract Extratropical cyclones and how they may change in a warmer climate have been investigated detail with high-resolution version of the ECHAM5 global model. A spectral resolution T213 (63 km) is used for two 32-yr periods at end twentieth twenty-first centuries integrated Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) A1B scenario. Extremes pressure, vorticity, wind, precipitation associated are compared lower-resolution simulation. Comparison observations extreme wind speeds indicates that model reproduces realistic values. This study also investigates ability to simulate extratropical by computing composites intense storms contrasting them same from 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40). Composites time evolution reproduced great fidelity; particular central surface pressure almost ex...
harvard.edu
mpg.de
cabdirect.org
geomar.de
nerc-essc.ac.uk 参考文章(45)
Raymond T. Pierrehumbert, Remy Roca, Helene Brogniez, On the Relative Humidity of the Earth's Atmosphere Global Circulation of the Atmosphere. pp. 143- ,(2004)
Raymond T. Pierrehumbert, Rémy Roca, Hélène Brogniez, On the Relative Humidity of the Atmosphere ,(2007)
Erich Roeckner, Jana Sillmann, Johann Jungclaus, Marco Giorgetta, Christian Reick, Daniela Jacob, Guy P. Brasseur, Climate projections for the 21st century Max-Planck-Institut fuer Meteorologie. ,(2006)
A. Kitoh, P. Friedlingstein, S. C. B. Raper, J. M. Gregory, R. Knutti, J. M. Murphy, T. F. Stocker, A. J. Weaver, G.A. Meehl, Z. C. Zhao, W. D. Collins, A. Noda, I. G. Watterson, T. Gaye, Global climate projections Cambridge University Press. ,(2007)
Emilio L. La Rovere, Hugh Pitcher, Joseph Alcamo, Hans-Holger Rogner, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Keywan Riahi, Sascha van Rooijen, Bert de Vries, William Pepper, Michael Schlesinger, Steven Smith, Tom Kram, Tsuneyuki Morita, Lynn Price, Alexei Sankovski, Gerald Davis, Robert Swart, Priyadarshi Shukla, Laurie Michaelis, Shunsuke Mori, Nadejda Victor, Joergen Fenhann, Amulf Griibler, Kermeth Gregory, Tae Y. Jung, Alexander Roehrl, Zhou Dadi, Stuart Gaffin, Special report on emissions scenarios (2000). pp. 612- ,(2000)
R. Blender, M. Schubert, Cyclone Tracking in Different Spatial and Temporal Resolutions Monthly Weather Review. ,vol. 128, pp. 377- 384 ,(2000) , 10.1175/1520-0493(2000)128<0377:CTIDSA>2.0.CO;2
Steven J. Lambert, John C. Fyfe, Changes in winter cyclone frequencies and strengths simulated in enhanced greenhouse warming experiments: results from the models participating in the IPCC diagnostic exercise Climate Dynamics. ,vol. 26, pp. 713- 728 ,(2006) , 10.1007/S00382-006-0110-3
Irene Fischer-Bruns, H. von Storch, J. F. González-Rouco, E. Zorita, Modelling the variability of midlatitude storm activity on decadal to century time scales Climate Dynamics. ,vol. 25, pp. 461- 476 ,(2005) , 10.1007/S00382-005-0036-1
David H. Bromwich, Ryan L. Fogt, Kevin I. Hodges, John E. Walsh, A tropospheric assessment of the ERA-40, NCEP, and JRA-25 global reanalyses in the polar regions Journal of Geophysical Research. ,vol. 112, ,(2007) , 10.1029/2006JD007859
Kazuyoshi OOUCHI, Jun YOSHIMURA, Hiromasa YOSHIMURA, Ryo MIZUTA, Shoji KUSUNOKI, Akira NODA, Tropical Cyclone Climatology in a Global-Warming Climate as Simulated in a 20 km-Mesh Global Atmospheric Model: Frequency and Wind Intensity Analyses Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. ,vol. 84, pp. 259- 276 ,(2006) , 10.2151/JMSJ.84.259