Projected future wave climate in the NW Mediterranean Sea

摘要: [1] Projected future regional wave climate scenarios at a high temporal-spatial scale were obtained for the NW Mediterranean Sea, using five combinations of regional-global circulation models. Changes in variables analyzed and related to variations forcing wind projections, while also evaluating evolution presence different types sea states. To assess significance changes produced, bootstrap-based method was proposed, which accounts autocorrelation data correctly reproduces extremes. For mean climate, relative Hs up ±10% obtained, whereas they around ±20% extreme climate. In terms, are similar those associated with speed but enhanced/attenuated, respectively, when fetch conditions favorable/unfavorable. general, most notable alterations not magnitude rather its direction. this regard, during winter season, it is interesting note that significant deviations between results derived from two global models larger than ECHAM5 simulated an enhanced west flow translated into more frequent W-NW waves, HadCM3Q3 model gives rise east component, contributes higher intensity number storms coming such direction directly affects wind-sea/swell distribution coastal stretches face east, like Catalan coast. Different patterns change summer common NE-E waves found.