Approximations for the Long-Term Behavior of an Open-Population Epidemic Model

作者: D. Clancy , P. D. O’Neill , P. K. Pollett

DOI: 10.1023/A:1011418208496

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摘要: A simple stochastic epidemic model incorporating births into the susceptible class is considered. An approximation derived for mean duration of epidemic. It proved that ultimately dies out with probability 1. The limiting behavior conditional on non-extinction studied using methods. Two different diffusion approximations are described and compared.

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