作者: John D. W. Morecroft
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摘要: About the Author. Foreword. Preface and Acknowledgements. How to Use This Book. Chapter 1: The Appeal Power of Strategic Modelling. Introduction. A New Approach Puzzling Dynamics International Fisheries. Model a Natural Fishery. Operating Simple Harvested Harvesting in Bonavista, Newfoundland: Thought Experiment. Start on Analysing Performance Through Time. Saving Bonavista: Using Simulation Devise Sustainable Dynamic Complexity Preview Book Topics Covered. Appendix: Archive Materials from World Dynamics. References. 2: Introduction Feedback Systems Thinking. Ways Interpreting Situations Business Society. Causal Loop Diagrams. Structure Behaviour Time: Loops Slow- to-Respond Shower. From Events Feedback: Drug-related Crime. Purpose Diagrams: Summary. Technology-Based Growth Business. Basic Tips. 3: Modelling Systems. Asset Stock Accumulation. Coordinating Network. Symbols Use: Closer Look at Equation Formulations. Experiments with Benefits Building Simulation. 4: Showers. Getting Started. Inside Simulations Showers B. 5: Cyclical Process Building. An Overview Process. Employment Production Instability: Over Time Computations Control. Workforce Management Factory Formulations Management. Chronic Cyclicality Cure It. for Learning Soft Appendix Communication Policy Information Smoothing. 6: Diffusion. Stocks Flows Product Adoption: Conceptual Diffusion Model. Bass Model: Elegant Special Case Variation Diffusion: Rise Low-Cost Air Travel Europe. Strategy Scenarios. Conclusion. More Fliers 7: Managing Growth. Market Capital Investment. Formulation Guidelines Portraying Structure. View Policy. Sales Limits Experiments. Redesign Investment Design, Complexity. Gain Reinforcing Loop. 8: Industry Dynamics: Oil Price Global Producers. Problem Articulation: Price. Development Stakeholders Their Decision making. Connecting Pieces: View. Experiment: Green Mindset Recession. Generate Devising Producers' Microworld. 9: Public Sector Applications Urban Stagnation Cities. Medical Patient Care. Fishery Regulatory Alternative Approaches. 10: Validity, Mental Models Learning. Models, Transitional Objects Formal Models. Social Tests Confidence Action: Study Fast-Moving Consumer Goods. Soap Fit Data. Summary Tests. Conclusion: Fidelity Usefulness. Index.