Domino effect in marine accidents: Evidence from temporal association rules

作者: Wenming Shi , Likun Wang , Ruiling Huang , Caiyun Zhang

DOI: 10.1016/J.TRANPOL.2021.02.006

关键词:

摘要: Abstract Marine accidents cause not only significant economic losses, but also severe environmental pollution and inestimable human casualties, which have become a worldwide concern. To better cope with this concern, paper adopts temporal association rules (TARs) to mine discover the domino effect in marine accidents. Using dataset of 5754 (MDAs) collected from International Maritime Organization IHS Markit Company, main findings are as follows. First, ‘hull damage’ was found be most frequent accident MDAs, ‘collision’ more likely damage whole hull. Second, ‘oil spill’ often observed final accident. Meanwhile, ‘foundered’ both oil tanker general cargo ship MDAs. Third, it is pointed out that probable scenarios involved basic ended top These advance our knowledge perspective effect, provide insights into improving safety.

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