The vulnerability of renewable energy to climate change in Brazil

作者: André Frossard Pereira De Lucena , Alexandre Salem Szklo , Roberto Schaeffer , Raquel Rodrigues de Souza , Bruno Soares Moreira Cesar Borba

DOI: 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2008.10.029

关键词:

摘要: Abstract Energy supply in Brazil relies heavily on renewable energy source. The production of from sources, however, greatly depends climatic conditions, which may be impacted the future due to global climate change (GCC). This paper analyzes vulnerabilities for cases hydropower generation and liquid biofuels production, given a set long-term projections A2 B2 IPCC emission scenarios. most important result found this study is increasing vulnerability poorest regions GCC. Both (particularly biodiesel) electricity hydropower) negatively suffer changes those regions. Other sources—such as wind power generation—may also vulnerable, raising need further research. However, results are fundamentally dependent which, turn, still highly uncertain with respect evolution greenhouse gas emissions, concentrations atmosphere Therefore, such scenario analyses, trends directions derived ones emphasized rather than precise one arrives.

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