Shale Gas and Import Dependency: A Multi-Method Model-Based Exploration

摘要: Today, many governments are considering the exploration and production of unconventional resources, shale gas in particular, for reasons security supply reduction import dependency. Large-scale development these resources promises to significantly lower dependency countries. Whether promise will be met remains uncertain though, not only because technological challenges, environmental concerns, but also interdependence, complexity uncertainty markets. Modelling simulation may therefore required assess resulting economic implications global development. In this study, System Dynamics Agent-Based models simultaneously deployed under deep discover explore plausible scenarios effects on regional markets Among else, it is shown that growth likely have a larger impact than actual size resources.