Implications of increased infectivity in early-stage HIV infection. Application of a Bernoulli-process model of HIV transmission.
作者： Steven D. Pinkerton , Paul R. Abramson
DOI: 10.1177/0193841X9602000502
关键词:
摘要: Recent reports suggest that the infectivity of sexually transmitted HIV (i.e., probability transmission on a single sexual contact) may be up to 1,000 times greater during first few months infection than long asymptomatic period precedes development AIDS. Assuming validity this estimate, simple Bernoulli-process model indicates that, in some cases, expected number secondary infections is for brief primary much longer phase. The implications these findings current HIV/AIDS prevention practices are analyzed with particular attention role condom use preventing transmission.
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