Rewarding Expertise in Probability Assessment

作者: Robert L. Winkler

DOI: 10.1007/978-94-010-1276-8_10

关键词:

摘要: Experts are valuable sources of information for individuals or groups with decision-making problems. Moreover, the theory personal, subjective, probability, as developed by de Finetti (1937) and Savage (1954), provides a framework within which experts can represent their uncertainties in quantitative fashion.

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