作者: George W. Rebok , Jurek G. Grabowski , Susan Pardee Baker , Guohua Li
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摘要: Background: The importance of pilot error in aviation crashes has long been recognized. However, understanding and preventing remains the foremost challenge safety. Objective: This study aims to identify characteristics crash circumstances that are associated with presence a large sample crashes. Methods: Different data files compiled by National Transportation Safety Board for 329 major airline crashes, 1,627 commuter/air taxi 27,935 general years 1983-96 were merged; was analyzed relation variables indicating pilot-in-command, circumstance, aircraft. Multivariate logistic regression modeling performed assess associations individual likelihood given crash. Results: Pilot probable cause 38% 74% 85% Among factors examined, instrument meteorological condition on-airport location each significantly increased odds error. decreased as certificate rating Neither age nor gender independently With adjustment circumstances, flight experience measured total time showed significant protective effect on Conclusions: prevalence correlates vary type operations. Adverse weather is consistently elevated error, possibly due performance demand.