Assessing the Resilience of a River Management Regime: Informal Learning in a Shadow Network in the Tisza River Basin

摘要: Global sources of change offer unprecedented challenges to conventional river management strategies, which no longer appear capable credibly addressing a trap: the failure defense engineering manage rising trends disordering extreme events, including frequency and intensity floods, droughts, water stagnation in Hungarian reaches Tisza River Basin. Extreme events punctuate or decline ecosystems, economies, societies this basin that extend back decades, perhaps, centuries. These may be long-term results defensive strategies historical regime reflect paradigm dating Industrial Revolution: "Protect Landscape from River." Since then all policies have defaulted imperatives such it became convention underlying current regime. As an exponent regimes' methods, concepts, infrastructure, paradigms reinforce one another setting basin's development trajectory, proven resilient wars, political, social upheaval for Failure address trap makes regimes resilience detrimental regions future prospects prompts demand transformation more adaptive Starting before transition democracy, shadow network has generated multiple dialogues Hungary, informally exploring roots as part search ideas methods revitalize region. We report on how international scientists joined dialogue, applying system dynamics modeling tools explore barriers bridges develop capacity participatory science expand range perspectives inform, monitor, revise learning, policy, practice management.