Modeling Climate Change Impacts on the US Agricultural Exports

作者: Yu-quan ZHANG , Yong-xia CAI , Robert H Beach , Bruce A McCARL

DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(13)60699-1

关键词:

摘要: Climate change is expected to have substantial effects on agricultural productivity worldwide. However, these impacts will differ across commodities, locations and time periods. As a result, landowners see changes in relative returns that are likely induce modifications production practices land allocation. In addition, regional variations can alter competitiveness countries lead adjustments international trade patterns. Thus climate impact studies it useful account for worldwide effects. this study, we investigate the implications of considering rest world projections US exports. We chose focus because one largest exporters. To conduct our analyses, consider four alternative scenarios, both with without impacts. Our results show considering/ignoring causes significant exports projections. feel should not only country but also order capture commodity markets potential.

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