作者: Guo-Jing Yang , Jürg Utzinger , Shan Lv , Ying-Jun Qian , Shi-Zhu Li
DOI: 10.1016/S0065-308X(10)73005-0
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摘要: Climate change-according to conventional wisdom-will result in an expansion of tropical parasitic diseases terms latitude and altitude, with vector-borne particularly prone change. However, although a significant rise temperature occurred over the past century, there is little empirical evidence whether climate change has indeed favoured infectious diseases. This might be explained by complex relationship between frequency transmission dynamics diseases, which characterised nonlinear associations countless other factors governing distribution Here, we explore how impact on targeted Regional Network for Asian Schistosomiasis Other Helminth Zoonoses (RNAS(+)). We start our review short summary current evidence-base affects Next, introduce biology-based models predicting future, warmer world. Two case studies are presented: classical RNAS(+) disease schistosomiasis emerging disease, angiostrongyliasis, focussing their occurrences People's Republic China. Strengths limitations discussed, propose model extensions include social ecological factors. Finally, recommend that mitigation adaptation strategies diminish potential negative effects need developed concert key stakeholders so surveillance early-warning systems can strengthened most vulnerable population groups protected.