Modelling the damage reducing effects of flood warning

摘要: Flood warning benefits have hitherto been modelled by predicting the damages saved moving contents of properties on receipt a flood warning. The research described in this report has developed new benefit estimation model capable capturing much wider range potential economic benefits. This is based upon portfolio approach to risk management which theoretical structural and non-structural measures may be combined maximise impacts. assists selection A synthetic example demonstrates contributions different portfolios measures. An application Saxony how maximised. indicates that combining forecasting systems with movable defences often leads large benefits, but important had from also using