摘要: An analysis is presented of 46 ice break up and 15 free season phenology data series obtained largely through volunteer monitoring efforts in Southern Ontario. Observations spanned the years 1853-2001. Available included dates formation as well number days a year. A high degree temporal coherence between lakes was observed (137/365 pairwise correlations significant at P < 0.05). Significant monotonic trends towards earlier longer seasons were across region both entire last thirty data. Trends may be associated with end Little Ice Age. The significantly study area have important implications for other parts Canada where climate change effects are predicted to more extreme than South-Central
springer.com
sci-hub.se 参考文章(15)
Roger K. Blashfield, Mark S. Aldenderfer, Cluster Analysis. Sage University Paper Series On Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences 07-044 Sage Publications. ,(1984)
Khaled H. Hamed, A. Ramachandra Rao, A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 204, pp. 182- 196 ,(1998) , 10.1016/S0022-1694(97)00125-X
William James Burroughs, Weather Cycles: Real or Imaginary? ,(1992)
Dale M. Robertson, Robert A. Ragotzkie, John J. Magnuson, Lake ice records used to detect historical and future climatic changes Climatic Change. ,vol. 21, pp. 407- 427 ,(1992) , 10.1007/BF00141379
W. F. Rannie, BREAKUP AND FREEZEUP OF THE RED RIVER AT WINNIPEG, MANITOBA CANADA IN THE 19TH CENTURY AND SOME CLIMATIC IMPLICATIONS Climatic Change. ,vol. 5, pp. 283- 296 ,(1983) , 10.1007/BF02423523
Wendy L. Anderson, Dale M. Robertson, John J. Magnuson, Evidence of recent warming and El Niño-related variations in ice breakup of Wisconsin lakes Limnology and Oceanography. ,vol. 41, pp. 815- 821 ,(1996) , 10.4319/LO.1996.41.5.0815
Xuebin Zhang, K. David Harvey, W. D. Hogg, Ted R. Yuzyk, Trends in Canadian streamflow Water Resources Research. ,vol. 37, pp. 987- 998 ,(2001) , 10.1029/2000WR900357
John J Magnuson, Dale M Robertson, Barbara J Benson, Randolph H Wynne, David M Livingstone, Tadashi Arai, Raymond A Assel, Roger G Barry, Virginia Card, Esko Kuusisto, Nick G Granin, Terry D Prowse, Kenton M Stewart, Valery S Vuglinski, None, Historical Trends in Lake and River Ice Cover in the Northern Hemisphere Science. ,vol. 289, pp. 1743- 1746 ,(2000) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.289.5485.1743
Randolph H. Wynne, John J. Magnuson, Murray K. Clayton, Thomas M. Lillesand, Daniel C. Rodman, Determinants of temporal coherence in the satellite-derived 1987-1994 ice breakup dates of lakes on the Laurentian Shield Limnology and Oceanography. ,vol. 41, pp. 832- 838 ,(1996) , 10.4319/LO.1996.41.5.0832
Temporal coherence in the limnology of a suite of lakes in Wisconsin, U.S.A. Freshwater Biology. ,vol. 23, pp. 145- 159 ,(1990) , 10.1111/J.1365-2427.1990.TB00259.X