Modeling urban expansion scenarios by coupling cellular automata model and system dynamic model in Beijing, China
作者： Chunyang He , Norio Okada , Qiaofeng Zhang , Peijun Shi , Jingshui Zhang
DOI: 10.1016/J.APGEOG.2006.09.006
关键词:
摘要: Abstract Spatially explicit urban expansion models that can trace development in the past and predict scenarios future are indispensable for examining planning policies. This paper demonstrates a new scenario (UES) model by coupling one “bottom-up” cellular automata (CA)-based “top-down” system dynamics (SD)-based model. By implementing UES Beijing, evolution from 1991 to 2004 was simulated UESs 2020 were predicted. The results suggest dilemma of versus limited water resource environment deterioration exists. Dealing with such remains challenge local government.
core.ac.uk
elsevier.com
researchgate.net 
sci-hub.se 参考文章(46)
Hirokazu Tatano, Michinori Hatayama, Yoshimi Hagihara, Yoshiyuki Suzuki, Norio Okada, Yasuhiro Hayashi, Integrated disaster risk management : Research on methodology of urban diagnosis Kyoto Daigaku Bōsai Kenkyūjo nenpō. ,vol. 48, pp. 1- 5 ,(2005)
Purnendu Mandal, Pratap K. Mohapatra, Madhab C. Bora, Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling ,(1994)
Erna López, Gerardo Bocco, Manuel Mendoza, Emilio Duhau, Predicting land-cover and land-use change in the urban fringe A case in Morelia city, Mexico Landscape and Urban Planning. ,vol. 55, pp. 271- 285 ,(2001) , 10.1016/S0169-2046(01)00160-8
D.P. Ward, A.T. Murray, S.R. Phinn, A stochastically constrained cellular model of urban growth Computers, Environment and Urban Systems. ,vol. 24, pp. 539- 558 ,(2000) , 10.1016/S0198-9715(00)00008-9
Sheryl BERLING-WOLFF, Jianguo WU, Modeling urban landscape dynamics: A review Ecological Research. ,vol. 19, pp. 119- 129 ,(2004) , 10.1111/J.1440-1703.2003.00611.X
W. R. Tobler, A Computer Movie Simulating Urban Growth in the Detroit Region Economic Geography. ,vol. 46, pp. 234- 240 ,(1970) , 10.2307/143141
Peter H Verburg, Tom (A.) Veldkamp, Johan Bouma, Land use change under conditions of high population pressure : the case of Java Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. ,vol. 9, pp. 303- 312 ,(1999) , 10.1016/S0959-3780(99)00175-2
George Xian, Mike Crane, Assessments of urban growth in the Tampa Bay watershed using remote sensing data Remote Sensing of Environment. ,vol. 97, pp. 203- 215 ,(2005) , 10.1016/J.RSE.2005.04.017
Jun Yang, Joe McBride, Jinxing Zhou, Zhenyuan Sun, The urban forest in Beijing and its role in air pollution reduction Urban Forestry & Urban Greening. ,vol. 3, pp. 65- 78 ,(2005) , 10.1016/J.UFUG.2004.09.001
H.C. Guo, L. Liu, G.H. Huang, G.A. Fuller, R. Zou, Y.Y. Yin, A system dynamics approach for regional environmental planning and management: a study for the Lake Erhai Basin. Journal of Environmental Management. ,vol. 61, pp. 93- 111 ,(2001) , 10.1006/JEMA.2000.0400