‘Aha’ moments in the water-energy-food nexus:: A new morphological scenario method to accelerate sustainable transformation
作者： Claire Hoolohan , Carly McLachlan , Alice Larkin
DOI: 10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2019.119712
关键词:
摘要: Abstract The water-energy-food nexus lens highlights the complex relationships and multiple sources of uncertainty that affect achievement global sustainable development. Such complexity requires future-oriented research is effective in gathering experience across disciplines, sectors scales. Scenario analysis a proven method for decision support conditions uncertainty, shown to provide opportunities learning supports transformational change. There are, however, few scenario studies examine nexus. This paper presents novel morphological developing analysing transdisciplinary scenarios cover combines existing generate small suite are able portray substantial multidimensionality, yet fit use within participatory research. potential this enhance thinking discussed, illustrating how it could much-needed platform transition towards sustainability By providing dialogue, disturb assumptions, reintroduce social justice questions technical challenges face nexus, build capacity transformation. Further required apply approach so can tangible changes making.
manchester.ac.uk参考文章(60)
S. Mander, P. Thornley, C. McLachlan, M. Roder, E. Dawkins, R Wood, C. Gough, L. Thom, A. Bows, What's Cooking? Adaptation and mitigation in the UK food system What's cooking? Adaptation and mitigation in the UK food system.. ,(2012)
Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Marc Craps, Art Dewulf, Erik Mostert, David Tabara, Tharsi Taillieu, Social Learning and Water Resources Management Ecology and Society. ,vol. 12, pp. 1- 19 ,(2007) , 10.5751/ES-02037-120205
Noboru Konno, Ikujiro Nonaka, Jay Ogilvy, Scenario Planning: The Basics World Futures. ,vol. 70, pp. 28- 43 ,(2014) , 10.1080/02604027.2014.875720
Mark D. A. Rounsevell, Marc J. Metzger, Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change. ,vol. 1, pp. 606- 619 ,(2010) , 10.1002/WCC.63
Anna R Davies, Ruth Doyle, Jessica Pape, Future visioning for sustainable household practices: spaces for sustainability learning? Area. ,vol. 44, pp. 54- 60 ,(2012) , 10.1111/J.1475-4762.2011.01054.X
Dionyssia Hatzilacou, Giorgos Kallis, Alexandra Mexa, Harris Coccosis, Eleni Svoronou, Scenario workshops: A useful method for participatory water resources planning? Water Resources Research. ,vol. 43, ,(2007) , 10.1029/2006WR004878
P.R. Stokke, W.K. Ralston, T.A. Boyce, I.H. Wilson, Scenario planning for Norwegian oil and gas Long Range Planning. ,vol. 23, pp. 17- 26 ,(1990) , 10.1016/0024-6301(90)90195-A
John B. Robinson, Unlearning and backcasting: Rethinking some of the questions we ask about the future Technological Forecasting and Social Change. ,vol. 33, pp. 325- 338 ,(1988) , 10.1016/0040-1625(88)90029-7
Tim Dixon, Malcolm Eames, Judith Britnell, Georgia Butina Watson, Miriam Hunt, None, Urban retrofitting: Identifying disruptive and sustaining technologies using performative and foresight techniques Technological Forecasting and Social Change. ,vol. 89, pp. 131- 144 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2013.08.027
Kelly Levin, Benjamin Cashore, Steven Bernstein, Graeme Auld, Overcoming the tragedy of super wicked problems: constraining our future selves to ameliorate global climate change Policy Sciences. ,vol. 45, pp. 123- 152 ,(2012) , 10.1007/S11077-012-9151-0