An Application of Decision Theory to a Medical Diagnosis-Treatment Problem

作者: Allen Ginsberg , Fred Offensend

DOI: 10.1109/TSSC.1968.300129

关键词:

摘要: The decision faced by a physician when confronted patient with an undetermined disease may be simply stated as: "What course of action, in the form diagnostic tests and/or treatments, should taken?" In most cases, this problem can characterized as sequential under uncertainty. Since is class problems for which theory has proved useful tool, it appears fruitful to attempt apply physician's problem. paper, possibility explored describing application theoretic techniques specific case. We first comment on why we believe proposed model more appropriate than other methods treating Then briefly described abstract. main body paper describes and its solution techniques. final section, some shortcomings particular analysis that might encountered general setting are pointed out.

参考文章(1)
Ronald Howard, Bayesian Decision Models for System Engineering IEEE Transactions on Systems Science and Cybernetics. ,vol. 1, pp. 36- 40 ,(1965) , 10.1109/TSSC.1965.300058