Modelling an urban water system on the edge of chaos

作者: Magnus Moglia , Pascal Perez , Stewart Burn

DOI: 10.1016/J.ENVSOFT.2010.05.002

关键词:

摘要: Viewing an urban water system as a complex adaptive provides new opportunities for analysis and avoids some critical simplifications. Taking this perspective, it is possible to explore the inter-related effects of changes system. This particularly important in developing world where donors providing aid aim improve conditions but struggle understand quantify systemic impacts their actions. because intervention aiming condition may also have unintended undesirable effects. To provide decision support, paper describes agent-based model system, developed on basis ethnographic interviews, subsequently evaluated by local stakeholders. The design well results scenarios. guidance which amendments produce best outcomes terms output variables, sense-checking sensitivity judged that are likely give good indication about real outcomes. It clear no single strategy will solve all problems its own, combined - with strong focus groundwater management protection be most successful.

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