Toward a Universal Translator of Verbal Probabilities

摘要: When forecasters and decision-makers use different phrases to refer the same event, there is opportunity for errors in communication.! In an effort facilitate communication process, we investigated various ways of "translating" a forecaster's verbal probabilities decision-maker's probability phrases.! We describe blueprint general translator report results from two empirical studies.! The support proposed methods document beneficial effects two, relatively simple translation methods.