Interactive Elicitation of Opinion for a Normal Linear Model

作者: Joseph B. Kadane , James M. Dickey , Robert L. Winkler , Wayne S. Smith , Stephen C. Peters

DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1980.10477562

关键词:

摘要: Abstract This article describes the mathematical theory underlying an interactive computer program for eliciting hyperparameters of a subjective conjugate distribution multiple linear regression model with usual normal error structure. Although methods are heuristic, they shown to produce hyperparameter estimates satisfying constraints satisfied by themselves. An application is given problem predicting time fatigue failure asphalt-concrete road as function several design variables concerning road.

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