A Simulation Model of Regional Demoeconomic Development in North Rhine-Westphalia: Theory, Structure, and Calibration
作者： Claus Schoenebeck
DOI: 10.1007/978-94-009-6893-6_11
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摘要: This paper reports on the results of a project that investigated way in which economic, technical and social change relates to development regional settlement systems, within framework migration investment decisions. For this purpose multilevel dynamic simulation model was developed, consisting (1) macro-analytic demoeconomic 34 labor market regions North Rhine-Westphalia, (2) micro-analytic intraregional location decisions 30 zones urban region Dortmund, (3) land use one or more districts Dortmund. general structure three-level system see Wegener (1980) et al. (1983). In only top level hierarchy, will be discussed. First, various theories about are evaluated, light empirical data, establish conceptual for building. Second, major submodels as well links between them discussion focuses evaluating markets, potentials, housing, two simulating aging population locational behavior industries. Finally, method calibrating is explained, some presented evaluated.
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