A System Dynamics Model of Supply-Side Issues Influencing Beef Consumption in Nigeria

作者: Kelechukwu G. Odoemena , Jeffrey P. Walters , Holger Maximilian Kleemann

DOI: 10.3390/SU12083241

关键词:

摘要: The per capita consumption of beef in Nigeria is reducing amidst a rising population that dependent on as major source animal protein. In this paper, system dynamics (SD) model was developed with the aim testing exploratory policies aimed at reversing trend. simulations various policy tests showed that, all tested, having higher carcass yield seems to be most efficient solution, but its feasibility faces some steep biological and ecological challenges. However, combination cuts across land–cattle–market nexus necessary obtain level almost meets World Health Organization (WHO) standards for recommended protein intake. Complex inter-linked systems, like production consumption, require systemic approach considers dynamic feedback avoid fixes fail or shift burden when making decisions.

参考文章(42)
Abubakar Suleiman, Elizabeth Louise Jackson, Jonathan Rushton, Challenges of pastoral cattle production in a sub-humid zone of Nigeria Tropical Animal Health and Production. ,vol. 47, pp. 1177- 1185 ,(2015) , 10.1007/S11250-015-0845-0
Keenan C. McRoberts, Robert W. Blake, Charles F. Nicholson, Terry W. Tucker, Gabriel Díaz Padilla, Group Model Building to Assess Rural Dairy Cooperative Feasibility in South-Central Mexico The International Food and Agribusiness Management Review. ,vol. 16, pp. 55- 98 ,(2013) , 10.22004/AG.ECON.156459
F. Recanati, F. Allievi, G. Scaccabarozzi, T. Espinosa, G. Dotelli, M. Saini, Global meat consumption trends and local deforestation in Madre de Dios: assessing land use changes and other environmental impacts Procedia Engineering. ,vol. 118, pp. 630- 638 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.PROENG.2015.08.496
Jack B. Homer, Partial-model testing as a validation tool for system dynamics (1983) System Dynamics Review. ,vol. 28, pp. 281- 294 ,(2012) , 10.1002/SDR.1478
Andrew Ash, Leigh Hunt, Cam McDonald, Joe Scanlan, Lindsay Bell, Robyn Cowley, Ian Watson, John McIvor, Neil MacLeod, Boosting the productivity and profitability of northern Australian beef enterprises: Exploring innovation options using simulation modelling and systems analysis Agricultural Systems. ,vol. 139, pp. 50- 65 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.AGSY.2015.06.001
Andrew Farrow, Carlos Larrea, Glenn Hyman, German Lema, Exploring the spatial variation of food poverty in Ecuador Food Policy. ,vol. 30, pp. 510- 531 ,(2005) , 10.1016/J.FOODPOL.2005.09.005
Vinícius Pereira Guimarães, Luis Orlindo Tedeschi, Marcelo Teixeira Rodrigues, Development of a mathematical model to study the impacts of production and management policies on the herd dynamics and profitability of dairy goats Agricultural Systems. ,vol. 101, pp. 186- 196 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.AGSY.2009.05.007
Clive A McAlpine, Andres Etter, Philip M Fearnside, Leonie Seabrook, William F Laurance, None, Increasing world consumption of beef as a driver of regional and global change: A call for policy action based on evidence from Queensland (Australia), Colombia and Brazil Global Environmental Change. ,vol. 19, pp. 21- 33 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2008.10.008
M. Herrero, P. K. Thornton, Livestock and global change: Emerging issues for sustainable food systems Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 110, pp. 20878- 20881 ,(2013) , 10.1073/PNAS.1321844111