Map-reduce framework-based non-iterative granular echo state network for prediction intervals construction

作者: Chunyang Sheng , Jun Zhao , Wei Wang

DOI: 10.1016/J.NEUCOM.2016.10.019

关键词:

摘要: When using interval-weighted granular neural networks (NNs) for prediction intervals (PIs) construction, the iterative mode is always accompanied with error accumulation that detrimental to reliability of PIs. In this study, a echo state network (ESN) developed PIs in which connections are represented by interval-valued information granules. To cope caused mode, non-iterative proposed here ESN. The training process ESN can be viewed as optimization allocation granularity, particle swarm (PSO)-based approach employed solving problem, and evaluation criteria performance, including coverage probability (PICP) mean width (MPIW), chosen optimized objectives. improve computational accuracy efficiency, Map-Reduce (MR) framework designed programming implementation PSO-based process. Two kinds time series data, two benchmark problems industrial ones coming from gas system steel industry, verify effectiveness method. experimental results indicate provides good performance construction.

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